Systemic Fragility, Risk & Path Dependence

Shows how capacity fade over charge cycles increases the effective EV operational carbon per km, progressively extending BBM beyond its point-of-sale calculation — a dynamic effect no certification standard accounts for.

Introduces the Battery Break-Even Mileage formula and applies it to five national grids and three battery chemistries, producing the matrix that inverts the universal 'EVs are always greener' claim.

Constructs the numerator of the BBM formula by auditing the full cradle-to-first-charge carbon of a traction battery across mining, refining, cell manufacture, and pack assembly.

A three-part forensic series introducing the Mobility Premium Burden metric to expose how mandatory auto insurance functions as a regressive mobility tax whose incidence falls heaviest on the populations with the fewest alternatives.

Maps the insurance industry's retreat from climate-exposed geographies and traces how the resulting gap between insured mobility cost and total mobility risk creates new forms of car-dependent financial vulnerability.

Dissects the territorial rating, credit-scoring, and telematics-based pricing systems that determine automotive insurance premiums, tracing how each mechanism systematically disadvantages low-income, minority, and rural households.

Introduces the Mobility Premium Burden metric and applies it across income quintiles and geographies to demonstrate that the same dollar premium imposes categorically different burdens depending on household mobility alternatives.

A three-part forensic series introducing the Road Subsidy Multiplier to quantify how every dollar of highway expansion generates more than one dollar in future public obligation — revealing the compound fiscal trap that standard infrastructure cost-benefit analysis is designed not to calculate.

Examines the political economy of highway investment persistence, the cost of retrofitting car-centric design, and the RSM-adjusted comparison between road and transit as competing infrastructure investment strategies.

Documents the empirical relationship between lane-mile additions and vehicle-miles traveled, demonstrates how induced demand is systematically excluded from DOT cost-benefit models, and applies the RSM formula to documented highway expansion cases.