Skip to main content

Sustainability

The Ocean Economy, Part 4: The Floor Below the Floor

Examines deep-sea mining proposals against the Marine Extraction Ratio, documenting that the ISA has licensed exploratory access to seabed ecosystems whose service value dwarfs the mineral value being extracted — with no agreed authority to approve the transaction.

The Ocean Economy, Part 3: The Acid Account

Quantifies the economic cost of ocean acidification by tracing a 30% acidity increase against the calcium carbonate-dependent ecosystem services it is progressively destroying — a cost that has never been formally entered into any national balance sheet.

The Ocean Economy, Part 2: The Cod That Wasn't There

Reconstructs the arithmetic of the 1992 Northwest Atlantic cod collapse — visible decades before the moratorium — and applies it to current fishery dynamics to assess where the Marine Extraction Ratio is approaching comparable thresholds.

The Biodiversity Budget

More than half of global GDP depends on nature. The annual public and private investment in protecting that nature is measured in tens of billions. The ratio between what the economy extracts from biodiversity-supplied services and what it invests in their maintenance defines the Ecosystem Dependency Ratio — and the number reveals that the global economy runs a biodiversity subsidy at a leverage ratio that would make any corporate finance officer blanch.

The Biodiversity Budget, Part 4: Pricing Nature Before It Disappears

Audits the Kunming-Montreal 30×30 framework, TEEB offsets, and debt-for-nature swaps against the financing gap, demonstrating that the governance architecture exists but investment remains orders of magnitude below what closing the Ecosystem Dependency Ratio would require.

The Biodiversity Budget, Part 2: The Sixth Extinction Rate

Applies the Ecosystem Dependency Ratio to documented species loss rates, showing that the IPBES-tracked decline of 1 million species is occurring while biodiversity investment remains orders of magnitude below the dependency it is supposed to finance.

The Biodiversity Budget, Part 1: The Services You Never Invoiced For

Traces the contested Costanza ecosystem service valuation and establishes the Ecosystem Dependency Ratio showing that the global economy extracts 340–1,300× more value from nature than it invests in its protection.

The Soil Bank

Topsoil is civilisation's most critical non-renewable resource — taking 200 to 1,000 years to form per centimetre and eroding at 10 to 100 times that rate under industrial agriculture. The Soil Capital Depletion Rate quantifies how fast we are spending this inheritance, and why the arithmetic threatens food security on a timescale that planning institutions consistently ignore.