The Logic of Successful Systems Decisions - Part 4: Decision Making: Quantifying Value, Risk, and Tradeoffs15 January 2019·851 words·4 minsHuman Systems and Behavior Decision-Making Monte Carlo Simulation Risk Assessment Systems Thinking Decision-Making and Bias Leadership and CrisisMonte Carlo simulation reveals the true risk profile of candidate solutions, assessing potential value uncertainty.
The Logic of Successful Systems Decisions - Part 3: Solution Design: Engineering Creativity and Feasibility14 January 2019·1003 words·5 minsHuman Systems and Behavior Solution Design Design of Experiments Creativity Systems Thinking Decision-Making and Bias Leadership and CrisisDesign of Experiments (DOE) allows engineers to test the synergistic interaction of multiple design factors efficiently.
The Logic of Successful Systems Decisions - Part 2: Problem Definition: Solving the Right Challenge13 January 2019·993 words·5 minsHuman Systems and Behavior Problem Definition Stakeholder Analysis Value-Focused Thinking Systems Thinking Decision-Making and Bias Leadership and CrisisProblem Definition begins by clearing the conceptual uncertainty to reveal the root objectives that must be solved.
The Logic of Successful Systems Decisions12 January 2019·354 words·2 minsHuman Systems and Behavior Decision-Making Systems Engineering Problem Solving Systems Thinking Decision-Making and Bias Leadership and CrisisThe Systems Decision Process (SDP) provides a framework to manage interconnected complexity and drive value.
The Logic of Successful Systems Decisions - Part 1: Defining Decision Quality and the Systems Imperative12 January 2019·942 words·5 minsHuman Systems and Behavior Decision Quality Systems Thinking Stakeholder Value Systems Thinking Decision-Making and Bias Leadership and CrisisThe six links of Decision Quality ensure every decision is robust, logical, and fully aligned with stakeholder values.
The Hannibalic Paradox: Genius, Grand Strategy, and the Fall of Carthage6 January 2019·158 words·1 minHistory and Critical Analysis Historical Case Studies Leadership and Crisis Disaster Analysis Military and LogisticsExploring Hannibal Barca's tactical brilliance and strategic failures that shaped the Second Punic War and Rome's rise to dominance.