Political Economy

A five-part series using Wintrobe's loyalty-repression model and Verwimp's commune-level data to show that the Rwandan genocide was not the explosion of ancient hatreds but the rational outcome of a budget constraint the dictator could no longer meet.

A three-part analytical series tracing how commercial extraction, military force, and providential authorization fuse into a replicable coercion doctrine — from the VOC's nutmeg monopoly to the present.

Venezuela, Iran, and Gaza as three simultaneous structural instances of the Coen logic: identical sequences, different actors, predictable outcomes.

How providential framing — whether theological, legal, or ideological — functions not as belief but as an institutional technology for removing the moral ceiling on coercion.

How Jan Pieterszoon Coen turned a spice monopoly into history's first corporate coercion-extraction blueprint — and why that blueprint still generates predictable outcomes four centuries later.