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The Fighter Jet and the State: A Tale of Two Systems

Key Insights
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  • The choice between fighter jets like the Gripen and F-35 reveals a state’s underlying theory of value in defense spending—whether it prioritizes sovereign public infrastructure or industrial policy and geopolitical signaling.
  • The F-35 program demonstrates how traditional cost-benefit analysis can be displaced by political-economic calculus, where excess capability is justified by inflated threats and sunk costs create unstoppable momentum.
  • Advanced weapons systems embed dependency layers that trade strategic flexibility for perceived security, creating forms of technological suzerainty and vendor lock-in.
  • Welfare analysis of defense programs shows that benefits are often privatized while costs and risks are socialized, leading to misallocation of public capital.
  • Sovereign alternatives like the Gripen preserve autonomy and option value, allowing nations to adapt to changing threats and alliances without hierarchical subordination.

References
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  • Mazzucato, M. (2013). The Entrepreneurial State: Debunking Public vs. Private Sector Myths. Anthem Press.
  • Niskanen, W. A. (1971). Bureaucracy and Representative Government. Aldine-Atherton.
  • Posen, B. R. (2003). Command of the Commons: The Military Foundation of U.S. Hegemony. International Security, 28(1), 5-46.
  • U.S. Government Accountability Office. (2023). F-35 Joint Strike Fighter: Program Costs Significantly Increased and Schedule Delayed. GAO-23-106124.
  • Singer, P. W. (2009). Wired for War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century. Penguin Press.
  • Dunne, J. P., & Skons, E. (2010). The Military Industrial Complex. In The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Peace and Conflict (pp. 398-415). Oxford University Press.