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The Anatomy of Failure: Deconstructing Mega-Project Collapse

Key Insights
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  • Strategic misrepresentation, where costs are underestimated and benefits overestimated, locks in mega-projects to failure from the outset, creating a sunk cost fallacy that prevents abandonment.
  • The pursuit of technological sublime leads to choosing unproven, complex solutions over reliable ones, resulting in cost overruns and fragile systems.
  • Institutional amnesia occurs when organizations build solutions without clearly defining the problem, leading to projects that solve non-existent issues.

References
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  1. Flyvbjerg, B. (2008). Public planning of mega-projects: Overestimation of demand and underestimation of costs. In H. Priemus, B. Flyvbjerg, & B. van Wee (Eds.), Decision-making on mega-projects: Cost–benefit analysis, planning and innovation. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  2. Priemus, H., Flyvbjerg, B., & van Wee, B. (Eds.). (2008). Decision-making on mega-projects: Cost–benefit analysis, planning and innovation. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  3. de Bruijn, H., & Leijten, M. (2008). Management characteristics of mega-projects. In H. Priemus, B. Flyvbjerg, & B. van Wee (Eds.), Decision-making on mega-projects: Cost–benefit analysis, planning and innovation. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  4. Trapenberg Frick, K. (2008). The cost of the technological sublime: Daring ingenuity and the new San Francisco–Oakland Bay Bridge. In H. Priemus, B. Flyvbjerg, & B. van Wee (Eds.), Decision-making on mega-projects: Cost–benefit analysis, planning and innovation. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  5. Samset, K. (2008). How to overcome major weaknesses in mega-projects: The Norwegian approach. In H. Priemus, B. Flyvbjerg, & B. van Wee (Eds.), Decision-making on mega-projects: Cost–benefit analysis, planning and innovation. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  6. Miller, R., & Lessard, D. R. (2008). Evolving strategy: Risk management and the shaping of mega-projects. In H. Priemus, B. Flyvbjerg, & B. van Wee (Eds.), Decision-making on mega-projects: Cost–benefit analysis, planning and innovation. Edward Elgar Publishing.