Data Supplement · The Logic of Imperialism

Three Empirical Diagnostics

The argument that imperialism is structural — not aberrant — is testable. Three datasets provide measurable diagnostics: the direction of capital flows, the geography of military force, and the form of new imperial lending.

Figure 1

Net Financial Transfers to Developing Countries, 2005–2024

Billions USD. Includes new lending, ODA, minus debt service repayments. Bars below zero indicate net capital drain from the periphery to the core. 2023–2024 reflect projected figures.

Sources: ONE Campaign / World Bank International Debt Statistics (2024); Global Financial Integrity, Financial Flows and Tax Havens (2015). Projected values based on ONE Campaign forecasts. Cumulative net resource transfer from developing countries since 1980: estimated $16.3 trillion.

Methodological note: Net transfer figures include official development assistance, new lending, remittances, and estimated unrecorded capital outflows (trade misinvoicing, illicit flows). Military base counts vary by definition — the 750 figure (Vine/Quincy) aggregates all facilities including forward operating sites; the DoD figure of ~128 captures only named installations. Both are cited in range form. BRI figures combine construction contracts and non-financial investments per Green Finance & Development Center methodology.