

The Mileage Machine
Series Overview#
Private vehicle ownership generates roughly 15,000–22,000 km per year under normal use. A rideshare or taxi fleet unit accumulates 150,000–300,000 km in 3–4 years. That compression creates something the automotive press almost never analyzes: a high‑sample, accelerated durability test running in real conditions, on real roads, with real drivers, at real ambient temperatures — not a manufacturer’s controlled proving ground.
The fleet operator’s incentive structure is also fundamentally different from the private owner’s. A fleet manager with 200 Camrys cares exclusively about total cost of ownership (TCO) over the operating period: fuel, maintenance intervals, unscheduled downtime, resale value at disposition. Sentiment, badge prestige, and feature lists are irrelevant. This makes fleet procurement decisions the closest thing the automotive industry has to revealed preference under rational conditions.
The series presents the data that results from this accidental experiment and argues that it should replace consumer surveys and magazine reviews as the primary information source for vehicle purchase decisions.
Infographic#
This infographic gives an overview of the series
References#
Recurrent Auto. (2024). The Recurrent battery report: Electric car battery replacement study. https://www.recurrentauto.com/research/battery-replacement-study
iSeeCars.com. (2023). The longest-lasting cars to reach 200,000 miles and beyond. https://www.iseecars.com/longest-lasting-cars-study
CarEdge. (2024). 10-year maintenance cost by brand: Toyota vs BMW vs Mercedes vs Audi vs Lexus. https://caredge.com/ranks/maintenance-costs
Gridwise. (2026). Best cars for Uber and Lyft drivers in 2026. https://www.gridwise.io/blog/rideshare/best-cars-for-uber-and-lyft-drivers
Automotive Fleet. (2024). 2024 Fleet vehicle total cost of ownership awards. https://www.automotive-fleet.com/10145157/2024-fleet-vehicle-total-cost-of-ownership-awards
Manheim Australia. (2024). Manheim Australia H1 2024 used vehicle market report. [Press release]. https://www.manheim.com.au/
Fleet Auto News. (2024, July 18). Hybrid auction volumes surge 192% as ex-fleet Toyotas flood market. https://www.fleetautonews.com.au/hybrid-auction-volumes-surge/
GoAuto. (2024). Toyota hybrid inflows drive auction spike. https://www.goauto.com.au/
TopSpeed. (2024). This Toyota Camry Hybrid taxi covered 530,000 miles without any major issues. https://www.topspeed.com/toyota-camry-hybrid-taxi-530000-miles/
Daily Dot. (2023, October 17). Uber driver puts 400,000 miles on Toyota Camry Hybrid, and it’s still ‘going strong’. https://www.dailydot.com/news/uber-driver-400k-miles-toyota-camry-hybrid/
Techbytes. (2026, March 3). Waymo reaches 170 million autonomous miles, maintains 98.4% uptime. https://techbytesonline.com/waymo-milestone/
Waymo. (2026). Waymo safety hub: Swiss Re third‑party audit. https://waymo.com/safety/
Dekra. (n.d.). Gebrauchtwagen‑Check: Jaguar I‑PACE nach 260.000 km mit 95‑97% Batteriezustand. [Dekra used‑car check report]. https://www.dekra.de/
Saxena, S., Le Floch, C., MacDonald, J., & Moura, S. (2015). Quantifying EV battery end‑of‑life through analysis of travel needs with vehicle powertrain models. Journal of Power Sources, 282, 265–276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpowsour.2015.01.080
NYC Taxi and Limousine Commission. (2023). 2023 TLC factbook. https://www.nyc.gov/site/tlc/about/factbook.page
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. (n.d.). Vehicle complaint database. https://www.nhtsa.gov/nhtsa-databases-and-software
Consumer Reports. (2024). Car brand reliability rankings. https://www.consumerreports.org/cars/car-reliability-owner-satisfaction/
SlashGear. (2024, March 6). German luxury cars cost the most to maintain, here are the numbers. https://www.slashgear.com/1701500/german-luxury-car-maintenance-costs-comparison/
EV Workz [Mechanic teardown]. (n.d.). Tesla Model 3 255,000 mile uber inspection [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@ev_workz
Car Care Nut [Toyota master technician]. (2023). I inspected a Toyota Camry Hybrid with 500,000 miles and here’s what I found [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/@TheCarCareNut


The Mileage Machine – Part 4: The EV Unknown

The Mileage Machine – Part 3: The German Problem

The Mileage Machine – Part 2: The Revealed Hierarchy

